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Ben Judah, Why Russia No Longer Fears the West:
"Vladimir Putin knows this. He knows that millions of Russians will cheer him as a hero if he returns them Crimea. He knows that European bureaucrats will issue shrill statements and then get back to business helping Russian elites buy London town houses and French chateaux. He knows full well that the United States can no longer force Europe to trade in a different way. He knows full well that the United States can do nothing beyond theatrical military maneuvers at most.
This is why Vladimir Putin just invaded Crimea.
He thinks he has nothing to lose."
Leitura complementar: Brincadeiras perigosas; A "península" do Texas; Breves notas sobre a situação na Crimeia; A NATO na Crimeia?; Dmitri Trenin sobre a crise na Crimeia.